Strategic Default? Should You Do It?

I recently talked with a very good friend of mine who I listed a property almost 2 years ago. My friend and his wife are both top tier professionals who make a good living with great income.  Back then I remember how the wife was scared to lose her credit because the home will go through a short sale procedure. The husband urged his wife that this is a smart move financially they are planning to do. Right at their kitchen table I asked them for the reason of selling the property. Their response was that since the home has been underwater (loan greater than home value) for quite some time now, they would rather let it go now, save, rent, and then buy another home within the next few years. Sadly, they were my first Strategic Foreclosure clients.  Since then, many more individuals passed through my company with the thought of letting their home go now and buy another home later at a much lower price. 

My Question is, if you are a homeowner, should you do it too?

Now of course, everyone has different situations that will undoubtedly provide a different response to this question.  But as a Real Estate agent, let me shed some light on what I have seen to those who chose or not choose to do so. 

The Definitely-make-financial-sense-to-do-so indviduals:
I've had a few people that sold homes with me that fit this category.  Many of them are underwater by atleast $100,000 dollars of negative (this is Nevada you know!) equity and in their financial sense it is just plain smart to let go of something with no value.  The questions comes to being, "Why would I keep paying the bank for $300,000 when my home is only worth $150,000."  It is definitely hard to argue with this reasoning especially when you consider that most mortgage payments actually double in value once every payment is calculated.  The $300,000 loan amount after 30-years of payment is actually closer to $600,000 with interest, taxes, and insurance. It sure is hard to argue thier logic if we are plainly talking dollars and cents. 

The I-Love-Our-home-and-too-much-memory-on-this home-individuals:
Now, I believe that most people who jumped in to buy their home typically did not do it for investment purposes. Most of my clients decided that it was time for them to achieve the American Dream of owning a home.  Families, friends, kids, and memories are put into play for years on the home that people bought.  For good or for bad, I do know quite a few people in this category.  Many are emotionally attached with their home plus the promise and obligation to keep paying a debt in their belief is the right thing to do.  The thought of not paying or the thought of a foreclosure under their name seems too stressful and outright embarassing.  And again, the thought of losing a home that their daughter and sons grew up in is too much to bare.   

Now as I have said earlier, different circumstances give different results in a family's decision to do strategic foreclosure. I may never convince one or the other individual for merits of their decisions.  But i do want to share with you this; Strategic Foreclosure is definitely rising.

According to the Las Vegas Sun In Southern Nevada, The 2,591 sales of single-family homes in February were 3.3 percent higher than January and 8.4 percent higher than February 2010, the Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors reported today. The median price of those homes was $128,000. While up 2.4 percent or $3,000 from January, the price fell 5.7 percent from February 2010.
That downward trend may not stop soon. The median price of new listings was $134,900 in February, up 1.4 percent from January but 10 percent below where it was in February 2010.


According to Reno Gazzette Journal, Washoe County reported 383 sales of existing single-family homes in February, up 6 percent from January and 13 percent from February 2010.

"February was the highest volume in unit sales for a month of February in the history of the MLS," RSAR president Sherrie Cartinella said in a statement.

Median sales price, however, continued its up-and-down trek toward bottom. Washoe County's median price for existing single-family homes was $161,000, up a percent from January but down 5 percent from February last year.

Of course the reason for these increase sales does not necessarily mean an increase in Strategic Foreclosure; but I definitely do feel it contributed to it.  2007 brought about the sub-prime mortgage mess that brought down the biggest banks and wall street institutions and almost totally crash the U.S. economy.  2011 is 5 years from 2007 that last saw the 5-year arm note. The problem I see in this is how would homeowners who have maturing 5-year arm note refinance with negative equity home values?  Most, if not all banks would probably not refinance homes with this situation in Nevada and anywhere else in the United States.  Guess what, many homes who took a 5-year Arm (again for Adjustable Rate Mortgages) will soon face increases in mortgage payments while looking at a bleak U.S. economy.  I know a few people who asked for extensions and have been denied by their loan servicing company.  A work-out for a loan modification was a choice, and many lost their credit score during the process.  With No credit score, an underwater home value, and an increase in mortgage payment, their choice now become to keep on paying, short sale, or do strategic foreclosure and save money until their home is taken by the bank.  A cycle of distress that no one should be in, in my opinion. 

In conclusion, I believe the reason why we still have a downward price trend in both northern and southern Nevada is because there are way too many bank owned forclosed homes entering the real estate market than those who are able to buy.  The shadow inventory (homes that are delinquent, in pre-foreclosure, auctioned, REO) are rapidly increasing which further decrease the price of homes when they are released.  And I bet 1,000.00 many of those homes were let go by teachers, businessmen, doctors, lawyers, retail store owners who decided that it is best to walk away now from the huge house debt and buy themselves the same type of home for a much lower price.

The scary thing is, if Strategic Foreclosure becomes a trend on why people walk away from their home, this could cause a second wave of financial disaster in the US.  Our leaders better find more ways to work with people in keeping their home to avoid a mass exodus of people opting for Strategic Foreclosure.  Lets not repeat the start of 2007. Only time will tell.